January 10, 2026
OGs vs Crypto Kids
Good Judgment Open
Old-school prediction pros vs crypto market upstarts
TLDR: Good Judgment Open invites aspiring “Superforecasters” to predict major events with backing from big-name sponsors. In the lone comment, derektank crowned it the original player and contrasted it with crypto-era markets, sparking nostalgia and questions about accessibility and whether prestige beats betting.
Good Judgment Open just rolled out the welcome mat for would‑be Superforecasters—the people who pride themselves on predicting big world events. Backed by sponsors like UBS Asset Management, The Economist, and Harvard Kennedy School, it’s run by Good Judgment, co-founded by Philip Tetlock, the guy who literally wrote the book on crowd forecasting. Expect questions on politics, money, and tech—aka all the juicy stuff.
But the community mood? One sharp comment from derektank dropped the mic: calling the Good Judgment Project the “OG” of prediction sites and lining up the timeline—Metaculus in 2015, plus crypto‑boom newcomers like Manifold, Kalshi, and Polymarket. He even nodded to vintage Long Bets, pointing out its “barrier to entry.” That single take set the vibe: nostalgic “grandpa knows best” energy vs. the flashy crypto kids. The low-key drama? Whether “superforecasting” is about pure skill and track records, or just another prediction playground without real money on the line. Cue the jokes about Superforecasters vs superheroes, and whether this is the prediction Olympics or a fancy clubhouse for brainiacs. Fans love the serious sponsors and real‑world questions; skeptics wonder if bragging rights beat cash markets. Either way, the OG flex is strong.
Key Points
- •Good Judgment Open is a public forecasting platform inviting users to improve skills and compare performance.
- •The platform features sponsored forecasting challenges from UBS Asset Management, The Economist, and Harvard Kennedy School.
- •Participants can explore active challenges, featured questions, and an unfiltered list of open forecasting questions.
- •Good Judgment Open is owned and operated by Good Judgment, a forecasting services firm supporting decision-makers.
- •Co-founder Philip Tetlock is credited with authoring work on state-of-the-art crowd-sourced forecasting; more information is available at goodjudgment.com.