February 10, 2026
Save the date: chaos on Tuesday
The Singularity will occur on a Tuesday
Tuesday Doomsday? Commenters turn a nerdy countdown into meme wars
TLDR: An engineer fitted five AI trendlines to a “blows up soon” curve and declared the singularity lands on a Tuesday, complete with a countdown. Commenters split between math skeptics, meme machines (Hitchhiker’s Tuesday, 2038 jokes), and a serious warning that society’s decision-making may fail before robots truly do anything wild.
A San Francisco engineer says the “singularity” — the moment tech goes off the rails — now has a date and a countdown, and yes, it lands on a Tuesday. His recipe: five real-world signals (think AI test scores, how cheap it is to run bots, how fast new breakthroughs arrive, hype papers, and how much code AI writes) and a spicy curve that blows up fast. Cue the comments setting themselves on fire.
The crowd splits fast. The hype squad cheers the social warning more than the robots, with one fan quoting the line that the real flip is when humans “can’t make collective decisions” fast enough — not when machines grow fangs. The skeptics roll in hot: “Huh?” math nitpicks, eye-rolls at hyperbolas, and claims the clock is clickbait. Pragmatists chime in with a cold shower: real-world agents need to mess up in meatspace first — “that will slow the bastards down.” And then the meme lords take the wheel: a Hitchhiker’s Guide zinger (“I could never get the hang of Tuesdays”), a 2038 bug nod (“before the Unix rollover!”), and plans for “Tuesday snacks.” Underneath the jokes, the fault line is clear: is this about super-smart machines, or about human institutions getting outpaced and glitching? Either way, everyone just set a reminder for Tuesday — panic or popcorn.
Key Points
- •The author proposes forecasting the timing of an AI singularity using hyperbolic models that yield finite-time poles.
- •Five metrics are analyzed independently: MMLU scores, tokens per dollar, frontier model release intervals, arXiv ‘emergent’ paper counts, and Copilot code share.
- •Each metric is normalized to [0,1]; release intervals are inverted and tokens-per-dollar are log-transformed due to extreme values (e.g., Gemini Flash at 2.5M tokens/$).
- •Hyperbolic growth is chosen over exponential or polynomial because it reaches infinity at a finite time, aligning with the singularity concept.
- •One metric reportedly shows curvature toward a pole, and the author claims a precisely dated countdown to the projected singularity.