The Economics of a Super Bowl Ad

Serena’s $7M Super Bowl splash: genius move or bathroom‑break money pit

TLDR: Ro is buying a Serena Williams Super Bowl spot at about $7M for 30 seconds to supercharge awareness. Commenters are split between calling it a smart attention play and slamming it as buzzwordy risk, with jokes about $233k-per-second blinks and warnings that a misfire can hurt more than it helps.

Ro is betting big on the big game, dropping roughly $7M for 30 seconds to debut a Super Bowl ad starring Serena Williams and her health journey with Ro. The pitch: the Super Bowl is the one night ads are the show, and it can fast‑track brand fame. The comments? A full‑blown halftime show of their own.

Skeptics came out swinging. One popular gripe mocked the founder’s mantra that the “downside is capped and upside is asymmetric,” calling it startup buzzword salad. Another roasted the math‑heavy post for making “not very strong arguments,” asking the real question: will this beat other channels for the same money? And the gloves really came off with a reminder that the downside isn’t always capped—just ask Ring—because a bad ad or backlash can scorch a brand.

On the flip side, some fans said this is the one moment when ads get undivided attention—people literally rank them—and that awareness can go from zero to mom‑texts‑you overnight. Culture warriors also jumped in: Europeans rolled their eyes at America’s “dopamine machine” sports breaks, while jokesters calculated each blink at $233,000 and warned, “Don’t pee during the ad.” Love it or hate it, the Super Bowl ads discourse is once again the real main event.

Key Points

  • Ro will air its first Super Bowl ad in 2026, featuring Serena Williams’ health journey with Ro.
  • Super Bowl airtime costs at least $233,000 per second, excluding production and other expenses.
  • The article argues the Super Bowl is uniquely valuable because audiences actively watch ads, creating cultural relevance and scale.
  • Super Bowl exposure can compress the time needed to build brand awareness due to concentrated, engaged viewership.
  • Ro’s founders plan to share a detailed breakdown of the ad’s economics and production, with a companion post by co-founder Saman.

Hottest takes

"$7 million for a 30-second-long ad. What do they get out of it?" — AnimalMuppet
"as if that's some ground-breaking realization" — fairity
"the downside wasn’t capped for Ring." — haritha-j
Made with <3 by @siedrix and @shesho from CDMX. Powered by Forge&Hive.